Cliodynamica by Peter Turchin
The official site for Peter Turchin’s research, publications, books, public writing, and media appearances.
- Posts
- 24 from 13 Jun 2023 to 1 Nov 2026
- Posting
- monthly (23 in the last year)
- Kind
- personal blog
- Feed
- https://peterturchin.substack.com/feed
2026 23
- China and AGI
- War and Peace and War: Twenty Years After
- Demography of Polities II
- Demography of Polities I
- Artificial Scientists Are Not as Good as Human Scientists
- What Came First in Human Evolution: Intelligence or Culture?
- Túpac Amaru II’s Rebellion according to Structural Demographic Theory
- More on the War over War
- Cliodynamics and AI: the mid-2026 update
- Eight Centuries of Wages in Britain II
- Eight Centuries of Wages in Britain I
- Human Unpredictability is Overrated
- Ages of Religion
- Why Is College So Expensive?
- “Our Honest Truth”—“Their Lying Propaganda”
- War in Ukraine XI
- War in Ukraine X
- The Structural-Demographic State of Japan III
- BookBeresta BooksSep 17, 2025The Great Holocene TransformationWhat Complexity Science Tells Us about the Evolution of Complex SocietiesWhy do the 99.9% of humanity live in large-scale societies organized as states? During the Holocene (the last 10,000 years), human societies have been transformed ut
- America at 250
- AC for Me, Not for Thee
- India's Youth Bulge
- PublicationJul 9, 2026What is society?Theory and SocietyThis article engages with Mark Moffett’s proposed definition of society, which emphasizes shared group identification over social interaction, and argues for a different, problem-driven approach to definition in evolutionary social science. Rat