The Curious Engineer

Overcoming Bias

2006

79 posts

2007–2008 →

2006 79

December 2006

  1. Normative Bayesianism and Disagreement
  2. Vulcan Logic
  3. Benefit of Doubt = Bias
  4. See, But Don’t Believe
  5. The Future of Oil Prices 2: Option Probabilities
  6. Resolving Your Hypocrisy
  7. Academic Overconfidence
  8. Gnosishtml
  9. Ads that Hurt
  10. Gifts Hurt
  11. Advertisers vs. Teachers II
  12. Why Common Priors
  13. The Future of Oil Prices
  14. A Fable of Science and Politics
  15. A Christmas Gift for Rationalists
  16. When Truth is a Trap
  17. You Will Age And Die
  18. Contributors: Be Half Accessible
  19. “I don’t know.”
  20. You Are Never Entitled to Your Opinion
  21. A Decent Respect
  22. Why Not Impossible Worlds?
  23. Modesty in a Disagreeable World
  24. To Win Press, Feign Surprise
  25. Advertisers vs. Teachers
  26. When Error is High, Simplify
  27. Finding the Truth in Controversies
  28. Bias in Christmas Shopping
  29. Does the Modesty Argument Apply to Moral Claims?
  30. Philosophers on Moral Bias
  31. Meme Lineages and Expert Consensus
  32. Malatesta Estimator
  33. Fillers Neglect Framers
  34. The 80% Forecasting Solution
  35. Ignorance of Frankenfoods
  36. Do Helping Professions Help More?
  37. Should Prediction Markets be Charities?
  38. We Are Smarter Than Me
  39. Law as No-Bias Theatre
  40. The Modesty Argument
  41. Agreeing to Agree
  42. Time on Risk
  43. Leamer’s 1986 Idea Futures Proposal
  44. Alas Amateur Futurism
  45. The Wisdom of Crowds
  46. Reasonable Disagreement
  47. Math Zero vs. Political Zero
  48. Bosses Prefer Overconfident Managers
  49. Seen vs. Unseen Biases
  50. Future Selves
  51. Does Profit Rate Insight Best?
  52. Bias, Well-Being, and the Placebo Effect
  53. Biases of Science Fiction
  54. The Proper Use of Humility
  55. The Onion on Bias: “Duh”

November 2006

  1. Macro Shares: Prediction Markets via Stock Exchanges?
  2. Thank you ma’am, may I have another?
  3. Beware of Disagreeing with Lewis
  4. In[]cautious defense of bias
  5. Pascalian Meditations
  6. Are The Big Four Econ Errors Biases?
  7. Surprisingly Friendly Suburbs
  8. Beware Amateur Science History
  9. …What’s a bias, again?
  10. Why truth? And…
  11. Asymmetric Paternalism
  12. To the barricades! Against … what exactly?
  13. Foxes vs Hedgehogs: Predictive Success
  14. What exactly is bias?
  15. Moral Overconfidence
  16. Why Are Academics Liberal?
  17. A 1990 Corporate Prediction Market
  18. The Martial Art of Rationality
  19. Beware Heritable Beliefs
  20. The wisdom of bromides
  21. The Movie “Click”
  22. Quiz: Fox or Hedgehog?
  23. Hide Sociobiology Like Sex?
  24. How To Join

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